Abstract

This paper presents a two-stage pipeline for implicit feature engineering in time series-based physiological stress detection using electrodermal activity (EDA) signals. In the first stage, we forecast three descriptive statistics of future EDA signals over short horizons (3, 5, and 10 seconds) based on a 60-second context window. In the second stage, a lightweight linear classifier detects stress from these predicted statistics. We evaluate three forecasting architectures spanning the domain expertise spectrum: a domain-specific bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) recurrent neural network, zero-shot and fine-tuned variants of Amazon Chronos T5 time series foundation model, and the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN) applied to engineered physiological features. Experiments on the publicly available Wearable Stress and Affect Detection (WESAD) dataset, comprising chest-worn multimodal physiological signals from 15 subjects under baseline and stress conditions, demonstrate that the domain-specific BiLSTM achieves the highest classification performance, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.913 to 0.962. TabPFN follows with AUC values of 0.853-0.869, while Chronos variants yield 0.528-0.744. Notably, models using predicted features consistently outperform those using oracle features derived from the true future signals, representing the theoretical upper bound, suggesting effective noise filtering through learned sequence representations. Chronos models quickly reach performance saturation regardless of training depth, highlighting challenges in tokenizing continuous physiological time series. The proposed approach advances implicit feature engineering for wearable stress monitoring by leveraging forecasting as a powerful inductive bias, thereby improving robustness and providing insights into the limitations of the foundation model for physiological signals.